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In our note, Credit resilience from CLO structure and manager, we noted the fall in prices of loans that could be affected by events in the Middle East (e.g. energy price surges). Also, concerns related to AI disruption have penalised software companies’ loans. We reiterated why Volta’s underlying portfolio exposure is limited, noting the double benefits from i) incremental protections embedded within CLO vehicles, ii) the manager’s track record of better-than-CLO market risk management. MTM accounting means NAV will show sentiment-driven volatility, and we have now reflected a large writedown in FY’26 (ending July), largely recovered in FY’27. The underlying portfolio will drive long-term performance.

  • Latest factsheet:  After April, which showed some of the rebound effect we noted above, May was quieter, with a flat return in the month. Volta’s CLO equity tranches returned -0.8% while its debt tranches returned +1.1% performance. The fund generated €17.6m in interest over the past six months.
  • Limited share price volatility in past month:  The VTA share price in € (see here for chart) has shown more stability, trading in the range €5.90-€6.12. In our view, this reflects limited company-specific news flow and the market being more sanguine about macro developments, particularly concerning Iran.
  • Valuation:  Volta trades at a double discount: its share price is at an 11% discount to NAV, and we believe its NAV includes a sentiment-driven discount to the expected cashflows. Volta’s yield (2027E: 10%) is a key attraction, and, in 2027E, we forecast >2x covered, giving investors considerable comfort.
  • Risks:  Credit risk is a key sensitivity. We examined the valuation of assets, highlighting the multiple controls to ensure its validity, in our September 2018 initiation note. The NAV is exposed to sentiment towards its own and underlying markets. Volta’s long $ position is only partially hedged.
  • Investment summary:  Volta is an investment for sophisticated investors, as both the NAV and the discount to NAV may be volatile over time. Fundamental, long-term share returns are reasonable: 8.9% p.a. (dividend reinvested basis) since inception to end-May 2026. Volta’s returns for investments made after the financial crisis were double those in prior years.
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